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CNN
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Turkey’s opposition on Monday introduced Kemal Kilicdaroglu because the presidential candidate to run towards two-decade ruler Recep Tayyip Erdogan in an upcoming election that would change the course of the nation.
Chief of Turkey’s secular and center-left Republican Individuals’s Get together (CHP), Kilicdaroglu (pronounced Ke-lich-dar-ou-loo) is extensively seen as all the pieces Erdogan is just not. He was lastly nominated after three days of political bickering among the many six-party alliance – simply three months earlier than the vote.
His much-awaited choice additionally got here after sturdy criticism of the opposition bloc for his or her delay in selecting their frontrunner, which analysts mentioned could have bolstered Erdogan’s possibilities.
Maybe a very powerful election in Turkey’s trendy historical past, the vote is anticipated to happen on Could 14.
It comes simply months after a lethal February 6 earthquake rocked the nation’s southeast, killing greater than 50,000 folks in Turkey and Syria. It additionally falls amid hovering inflation and a foreign money disaster that final 12 months noticed almost 30% slashed off the lira’s worth towards the greenback.
Erdogan, who turned 69 final month, is hoping to increase his energy effectively into a 3rd decade. And whereas the AK Get together chief is right now dealing with the fiercest opposition but to his rule, polls recommend a really tight race between him and the CHP candidate even after final month’s earthquake brought about widespread disgruntlement in his strongholds.
However who’s the marginally older, bespectacled contender hoping to interrupt Erdogan’s 20-year grip on energy?
A lawmaker representing the CHP since 2002 – the identical 12 months that noticed Erdogan’s AK Get together rise to energy – Kilicdaroglu, 74, climbed up the political ladder to turn into his occasion’s seventh chairman in 2010.
Born within the japanese, Kurdish-majority province of Tunceli, the occasion chief ran in Turkey’s 2011 normal election however misplaced, coming second to Erdogan and his AK Get together.
Kilicdaroglu represents the occasion fashioned 100 years in the past by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, the founding father of recent Turkey and a die-hard secularist. He stands in stark distinction to Erdogan’s Islamist-rooted occasion and its conservative base.
Regardless of his secular leanings, nonetheless, the opposition candidate and his alliance have vowed to characterize all factions of Turkish society, which analysts say was demonstrated in his numerous coalition.
The opposition bloc’s roadmap has been clear in its purpose to reverse Erdogan’s presidential system, shifting in direction of a extra inclusive parliamentary system the place the president’s function holds much less energy.
“There’ll now not be a centralization of energy by the hands of the president,” mentioned Mehmet Karli, coordinator of the Program on Up to date Turkey on the European Research Centre at Oxford College.
“The presidency will turn into a symbolic workplace and Turkey will revert again to the parliamentary democracy that it was since 1921,” Karli, who can be a long-term adviser to Kilicdaroglu, informed CNN.
Kilicdaroglu stands for a extra “pluralist Turkish identification,” mentioned Karli, the place freedoms and liberties are cherished.
Generally known as “Ghandhi Kemal” for each his bodily resemblance to India’s Mahatma Ghandhi in addition to his humble decorum, Kilicdaroglu is seen as Erdogan’s polar reverse, analysts say.
“Kemal Kilicdaroglu is all the pieces President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is just not,” Gonul Tol, founding director of the Center East Institute’s Turkey program in Washington, DC, informed CNN’s Becky Anderson on Tuesday. “Erdogan is a rightwing, populist firebrand who has dismantled the nation’s establishments to ascertain his one-man rule.”
“He has little regard for experience or liberal democratic values,” she mentioned, including that whereas Kilicdaroglu is just not as charismatic, “he needs to rebuild the nation’s establishments, diffuse energy and rule with consultations and compromise.”
Whereas each Kilicdaroglu and Erdogan hail from humble socio-economic backgrounds, “they advanced to be utterly completely different creatures,” says Murat Somer, a political science professor at Koc College in Istanbul.
Symbolically, “Erdogan is the shopkeeper, Kilicdaroglu is the bureaucrat,” mentioned Somer, referring to Erdogan’s businessman-like method, versus that of Kilicdaroglu, who Somer says is extra dedicated to process.
“Kilicdaroglu will attempt to struggle corruption and likewise convey previous corruptions to justice,” he mentioned.
Kilicdaroglu is anticipated to have a softer and extra predictable method towards the West, analysts say, as he is not going to be appearing unilaterally however via establishments.
“Kilicdaroglu is a robust believer that Turkey belongs within the West,” mentioned Karli, his adviser.
If the West needs a relationship with Turkey that’s primarily based on “shared values,” says Somer, then they’re very prone to expertise a a lot better partnership underneath Kilicdaroglu, whose values, he mentioned, are a lot nearer to these of the West and the European Union.
Conflicts with overseas powers are nonetheless sure to happen, he continued, as Turkey has its personal nationwide pursuits which Kilicdaroglu and the opposition are additionally eager to protect.
“The political context after the earthquake is ripe for an opposition victory.” @gonultol tells CNN she believes the quake has uncovered the vulnerabilities of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s management forward of the upcoming elections on Could 14. pic.twitter.com/6oxMTnLuao
— Join the World (@CNNConnect) March 8, 2023
“However it’s going to defend these pursuits with a special discourse and with a special method,” Somer mentioned, including that Kilicdaroglu’s overseas coverage is prone to depend on Western alliances.
Erdogan’s overseas coverage has usually been described as “combative” and “private,” which the opposition could change to turn into extra institutional, predictable and primarily based on smooth energy, Somer mentioned.
Turkey’s friendship with Russia might also witness change, specialists say. A detailed good friend of Erdogan, Russian President Vladimir Putin has been clear to help his Turkish counterpart.
Karli says that Kilicdaroglu will name out Russia for its violation of worldwide regulation, referring to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, whereas sustaining a balancing function between Moscow and Turkey’s Western allies.
Within the Center East, the place Erdogan has for months been pledging a brand new incursion into northern Syria amid his struggle with Kurdish militants, Kilicdaroglu’s method is anticipated to be a lot much less interventionist, specialists say.
Kilicdaroglu is a follower of Ataturk’s maxim, says Karli, that “until a nation’s life faces peril, battle is homicide.”
This 12 months’s election presents an unprecedented situation the place one candidate, Erdogan, is working towards a coalition of events that haven’t historically seen eye-to-eye on ideology, analysts say.
Somer, of Koc College, sees Kilicdaroglu’s method to working in a coalition as a possible power.
Kilicdaroglu and the 2 vice presidents he has named are the three hottest leaders within the nation, mentioned Tol. “In the event that they run as a group, it will actually broaden the attraction of the opposition coalition,” she mentioned.
The following three months will outline Turkey’s future. And whereas many critics anticipated the earthquake to influence Erdogan’s reelection possibilities, polls point out that the federal government is just not prone to lose as many votes because the opposition anticipated, Ozer Sencar, chairman of MetroPOLL, a Turkish polling agency, informed CNN.
“After the earthquake, Erdogan’s recognition decreased by just one level, whereas Kilicdaroglu’s recognition decreased by 5 factors,” he mentioned.
“All these information present that the losses of the federal government and Erdogan as a result of earthquake are at a stage that may be compensated.”
The race goes to be a good one, mentioned Somer.
“It is going to be a referendum between democracy and autocracy, not an election between two candidates,” he mentioned. “It is going to be an epic story.”
Iraq enforces seven-year-old ban on alcohol sale
Iraq has begun implementing a 2016 ban on alcoholic drinks, Reuters reported, citing the nation’s official gazette – a transfer some Iraqis attribute to the rising clout of Islamic spiritual events that they concern is threatening social freedoms. Enforcement took impact seven years after the regulation’s passage by parliament.
- Background: Underneath the regulation, imported alcoholic drinks are prohibited and can’t be bought in native markets, or changed by domestically manufactured variations. Border crossings and airport authorities have been ordered to confiscate any alcoholic drinks within the possession of vacationers. Licenses to promote alcohol have solely been issued to non-Muslims in Iraq and, whereas ingesting in public is just not prohibited, it’s frowned upon. Within the capital Baghdad, it’s not uncommon to see youths ingesting on the banks of the Tigris River.
- Why it issues: Analysts say spiritual events exert extra affect within the present coalition authorities than current predecessors. Iraq is a conservative, primarily Muslim society the place most women and men eschew alcohol, however it’s not an Islamic state, critics of the alcohol ban say. Nonetheless, Iraq’s stance on alcohol has lengthy been seen as comparatively liberal within the Islamic world in contrast with neighbors corresponding to Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, the place possession of alcohol is outlawed.
At the very least 6 Palestinians killed in Israeli raid concentrating on killer of settler brothers
At the very least six Palestinians have been killed in an Israeli navy raid into the Jenin refugee camp within the occupied West Financial institution on Tuesday, the Palestinian Ministry of Well being mentioned. The goal of the raid was Abdul-Fattah Hussein Kharousha, the Israel Protection Forces mentioned, calling him a “Hamas terrorist operative” and saying he was suspected of taking pictures two settler brothers within the Palestinian city of Huwara final week. Hamas in a while Tuesday claimed Kharousha, 49, as a member, and mentioned he had killed two Israeli settlers in Huwara.
- Background: Brothers Hillel Yaniv, 21 and Yagel Yaniv, 19, have been shot as they drove via the Palestinian village of Huwara within the occupied West Financial institution on February 26. They lived within the close by Israeli settlement of Har Bracha. Their killing prompted settler mobs to rampage via the Palestinian city of Huwara final week, killing one Palestinian.
- Why it issues: The raid is no less than the third to happen in daylight this 12 months. The earlier two – one in Jenin and one in Nablus – every resulted in 11 Palestinian fatalities, together with militants being focused by Israel, folks clashing with the Israeli forces, and bystanders.
Saudi overseas minister says Syria could return to Arab League
Saudi International Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud mentioned on Tuesday that it’s “too early to inform” if Syrian President Bashar Assad could be invited to the Arab League summit in Riyadh, however that engagement with Damascus is critical “and which will effectively lead ultimately to Syria returning” to the grouping. “There’s consensus constructing within the Arab World that the established order is just not working,” Al-Saud informed journalists at a press briefing on the Saudi embassy in London on Tuesday.
- Background: Syria was largely remoted from the remainder of the Arab world following Assad’s lethal crackdown towards protests that erupted towards his rule in 2011. The Arab League suspended Syria’s membership in 2011 and plenty of Arab international locations pulled their envoys out of Damascus. Algeria hosted the primary Arab League summit since earlier than the Covid-19 pandemic in November, although Damascus stayed away after Algeria failed to steer different Arab states to finish Syria’s suspension.
- Why it issues: Assad has benefited from an outpouring of help from Arab states following the devastating earthquake on Feb. 6, which killed hundreds of Syrians. Saudi Arabia will host this 12 months’s Arab League summit.
In her sunlit portrait of the pole dancing teacher Nusaiba Al Maskari, the UK-born Omani photographer Eman Ali creates an arresting visible simile between the power of Al Maskari’s physique and the Hajar Mountains within the background. Gracefully extending herself horizontally from her pole, she aligns with the peaks above Muscat, a single fluid line throughout the image airplane.
Ali, who at present works between Oman and Bahrain, started working towards pole dancing herself whereas dwelling in London years in the past. She wished to satisfy and {photograph} Al Maskari particularly after listening to in regards to the teacher’s non-public studio, Rock & Rhythm, she defined over e mail.
“I’m drawn to like-minded girls who aren’t afraid to be themselves,” Ali mentioned.
Although pole dancing has turn into a well-liked type of health around the globe over the previous 20 years, having such a studio within the Gulf nation is “extremely uncommon,” Ali defined.
“I love her bravery in bringing a sport that celebrates feminine sensuality to a extra conservative surroundings and am impressed by how she helps girls really feel assured and empowered by their physique.”
The placing portrait is a part of Ali’s meditative sequence about life in Oman, “The Earth Would Die if the Solar Stopped Kissing Her,” a part of a worldwide challenge from the NFT platform Obscura wherein almost 140 photographers documented up to date life throughout the identical month.
Ali’s contribution, which she additionally exhibited on the worldwide truthful Paris Picture final fall, is a love letter to Oman’s land and other people, “highlighting the sweetness, imperfections and power” that bind us, she defined.
Learn extra about Eman’s Ali’s work right here.
By Jacqui Palumbo
Correction: This text has been up to date to make clear that Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu ran usually elections in 2011, not presidential elections.